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Several States are Considering "redistricting" and the GOP stands to 'pick up' Safe Seats

Melensdad

Melensdad

Jerk in a Hawaiian Shirt & SNOWCAT Moderator
Staff member
States Considering Redistricting before the 2026 election.

If they do redistrict:

RED would be likely 'safe' seats for the GOP
BLUE would be likely safe seats for the Democrats

Texas: 5 seats
Florida: 3-5 seats
Ohio: 2 seats
Indiana: 1-2 seats
Missouri: 1 seat
California*: 5 seats

*California Requires a constitutional amendment and Arnold "The Terminator" Scwartzeneger has publicly some out to say he will fight any attempt to redistrict the state in a partisan fashion.

So the GOP would likely pick up 12 to 15 seats if ALL of the states that DON'T require a constitutional amendment actually do redistricting. And if, California were somehow able to pass a constitutional amendment, and do a redistricting in time for the 2026 election, which seems unlikely, then the GOP could still potentially pick up 7 to 10 seats in the House.

All that said, there is no guarantee any of these states will do the redistricting, and even if they do, they may not have them completed by the 2026 election. To my understanding, TEXAS is the most likely to get the job done.
 
Melensdad said:
States Considering Redistricting before the 2026 election.

If they do redistrict:

RED would be likely 'safe' seats for the GOP
BLUE would be likely safe seats for the Democrats

Texas: 5 seats
Florida: 3-5 seats
Ohio: 2 seats
Indiana: 1-2 seats
Missouri: 1 seat
California*: 5 seats

*California Requires a constitutional amendment and Arnold "The Terminator" Scwartzeneger has publicly some out to say he will fight any attempt to redistrict the state in a partisan fashion.

So the GOP would likely pick up 12 to 15 seats if ALL of the states that DON'T require a constitutional amendment actually do redistricting. And if, California were somehow able to pass a constitutional amendment, and do a redistricting in time for the 2026 election, which seems unlikely, then the GOP could still potentially pick up 7 to 10 seats in the House.

All that said, there is no guarantee any of these states will do the redistricting, and even if they do, they may not have them completed by the 2026 election. To my understanding, TEXAS is the most likely to get the job done.
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Great job with the math. That puts in better perspective the threat Dems are making right now regarding Texas' redistricting. Their "fight fire with fire" threat rings rather hollow, as they'd lose more than they'd gain if we're to engage in a redistricting contest. So, I sort of hope they do, which may spur those red states listed to do the same, giving the GOP a healthy majority in the House.
 
Right now the Democrats are losing power and seats because they are losing popularity. Redistricting is another blow. They cannot win in the court of public opinion, so they have begun to utilize the justice courts. That's no longer working for their message either, so they are rebelling against the democratic process they keep swearing they want to protect and save.

They are deceitful LIARS!

I have said it many times, the Democratic party has been trying to destroy our Democratic Republic since 1861. All the current civil discourse and rioting of late is supported by the left. I would suggest they currently seem to be pushing for another civil war.
 
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FrancSevin said:
Right now the Democrats are losing power and seats because they are losing popularity. Redistricting is another blow. They cannot win in the court of public opinion, so they have begun to utilize the justice courts. That's no longer working for their message either, so they are rebelling against the democratic process they keep swearing they want to protect and save.

They are deceitful LIARS!

I have said it many times, the Democratic party has been trying to destroy our Democratic Republic since 1861. All the current civil discourse and rioting of late is supported by the left. I would suggest they currently seem to be pushing for another civil war.
Click to expand...

How can they win a civil war if they're against guns? Unless they're completely delusional of how a war works? There are no safe spaces in battles.
 
KitKat2023 said:
How can they win a civil war if they're against guns? Unless they're completely delusional of how a war works? There are no safe spaces in battles.
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You are assuming two things.
1) That it would be a physical confrontation with weapons. When the time comes, guns are readily available.
2) There is no reason to believe that the left would not hesitate to employ weapons to win.

Currently, they are not winning using two approaches...
1) A mass of lawyers and our court system to block & confuse. All to hamper law abiding efforts.
2) Demonstrations, riots and extreme acts of civil unrest like looting, arson, and mowing down people with vehicles.

These radical leftists are not sane people. We cannot expect them to use logical approaches. Most especially as they become more and more desperate. I'm betting they would not employ logical methods to win their objectives.
Nothing they are doing now is "logical" much less effective.
Desperation breeds desperate actions.

The left is a bit short on morality.
Anything goes.!
 
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FrancSevin said:
You are assuming two things.
1) That it would be a physical confrontation with weapons. When the time comes, guns are readily available.
2) There is no reason to believe that the left would not hesitate to employ weapons to win.

Currently, they are not winning using two approaches...
1) A mass of lawyers and our court system to block & confuse. All to hamper law abiding efforts.
2) Demonstrations, riots and extreme acts of civil unrest like looting, arson, and mowing down people with vehicles.

These radical leftists are not sane people. We cannot expect them to use logical approaches. Most especially as they become more and more desperate. I'm betting they would not employ logical methods to win their objectives.
Nothing they are doing now is "logical" much less effective.
Desperation breeds desperate actions.

The left is a bit short on morality.
Anything goes.!
Click to expand...
There will be no civil war. At least not a widespread, physical one. The reason is that people are divided by ideology more than by geography. Quite often, the disagreements are between neighbors, and they do often come to blows. However, if there were to begin fighting between groups, on anything like a mass scale, the military would be called out to put it down, and keep the peace. And if one side tried to fight the military, more likely the Leftists, they would quickly lose whatever remained of their credibility in the eyes of most Americans. Then, their ideology would lose credence, to the point of insignificance. Just like the Nazi or Communist ideology, which led to mass death and suffering, has lost credence.

So, if this is where the Left feels it needs to go, toward increased violence, then that is bad, but it will only serve to discredit them in the end. Just like the events of Jan 6 discredited conservatives, and still does. As angry as people get at each other sometimes, it only takes a bit of real violence for them to experience, or even just to see, for them to hate it, and denounce it. Any true combat vet will tell you that.
 
I believe Ohio is mandated by law to redistrict this year. So that bodes well. Texas is not mandated to do so but appears to be in process to achieve their goal. Indiana does NOT seem inclined, and if it does it would likely only pick up 1 of the 2 seats. Florida seems like they are leaning toward a redistricting and could pick up several. I'm not sure of the status of Missouri.

The loudest voice is California, but before they can redistrict they need to hold a state wide referendum do allow them to do so so while they can scream and shout, it also seems like they have big roadblocks to allow them to get rid of their GOP seats.
 
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