USGS warns major Northern California QUAKE: 'Any Day Now'


Jerk in a Hawaiian Shirt & SNOWCAT Moderator
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The United States Geological Service is issuing a 'warning' that a "major" quake could strike the Hayward Fault line area in Northern California at any moment.

Being that I live in a 'quake free' area of the nation I am not really sure how the folks in the affected area would prepare for something like this. Probably the same way we prepare for a tornado: Have some supplies, and hope your house survives?

In any case, good luck to anyone in, or near, the affected area, if it hits.

USGS Scientist: Major Quake On Hayward Fault Expected ‘Any Day Now’

(CBS SF) — The fault that produced a 4.0-magnitude earthquake in Fremont early Tuesday morning is expected to produce a major earthquake “any day now” and Bay Area residents should be prepared, a U.S. Geological Survey scientist said.

The 2:41 a.m. earthquake on the border of Fremont and Union City occurred on the Hayward Fault at a depth of 5 miles. The epicenter was at a spot just north of the intersection of Niles Canyon Road and Mission Boulevard.

The quake caused some BART delays early Tuesday while work crews checked the tracks, but appears to have caused no major damage. At least 13 smaller quakes or aftershocks had been reported near the same location as of 6:42 a.m., the largest of which was a 2.7-magnitude at 2:56 a.m.

While damage from the quake was minimal, scientists warn that a much larger one is expected on the Hayward Fault, which extends from San Pablo Bay in the north to Fremont in the south and passes through heavily populated areas including Berkeley, Oakland, Hayward and Fremont.

The last big earthquake on the fault, estimated to have a 6.8-magnitude, occurred in 1868, according to the USGS.

It killed about 30 people and caused extensive property damage in the Bay Area, particularly in the city of Hayward, from which the fault derives its name. Until the larger 1906 earthquake, it was widely referred to as the “Great San Francisco Earthquake.”

“The population is now 100 times bigger in the East Bay, so we have many more people that will be impacted,” said Tom Brocher, a research geophysicist with the USGS.

“We keep a close eye on the Hayward Fault because it does sit in the heart of the Bay Area and when we do get a big earthquake on it, it’s going to have a big impact on the entire Bay Area,” Brocher said.

While a 2008 report put the probability of a 6.7-magnitude or larger earthquake on the Hayward-Rodgers Creek Fault system over the next 30 years at 31 percent, Brocher said the reality is a major quake is expected on the fault “any day now.”

“The past five major earthquakes on the fault have been about 140 years apart, and now we’re 147 years from that 1868 earthquake, so we definitely feel that could happen any time,” Brocher said.

Brocher urged residents to take steps to prepare for a major earthquake...
FOLLOW the link above to the full story.

Photo below from CBS San Francisco:


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New member
Yep. What we need is a really good earthquake so the media will stop talking about Donald Trump.


Super Moderator
Staff member
GOLD Site Supporter
A couple articles on this earthquake show it going all the way up to Canada.

From the link below (bolding is mine):
Scientists and FEMA are all preparing for a huge earthquake where the magnitude will be somewhere between 8.7 and 9.2 followed by a huge Tsunami. The video below will explain this in greater detail.

FEMA has outlined some of what they expect to happen here, in an article from the New Yorker, by way of All News Pipeline:
• FEMA expects to coördinate search-and-rescue operations across a hundred thousand square miles and in the waters off four hundred and fifty-three miles of coastline. As for casualties: the figures I cited earlier—twenty-seven thousand injured, almost thirteen thousand dead—are based on the agency’s official planning scenario, which has the earthquake striking at 9:41 A.M. on February 6th. If, instead, it strikes in the summer, when the beaches are full, those numbers could be off by a horrifying margin.

• How much all this will cost is anyone’s guess; FEMA puts every number on its relief-and-recovery plan except a price. But whatever the ultimate figure—and even though U.S. taxpayers will cover seventy-five to a hundred per cent of the damage, as happens in declared disasters—the economy of the Pacific Northwest will collapse. Crippled by a lack of basic services, businesses will fail or move away. Many residents will flee as well. OSSPAC predicts a mass-displacement event and a long-term population downturn.

• FEMA calculates that, across the region, something on the order of a million buildings—more than three thousand of them schools—will collapse or be compromised in the earthquake. So will half of all highway bridges, fifteen of the seventeen bridges spanning Portland’s two rivers, and two-thirds of railways and airports; also, one-third of all fire stations, half of all police stations, and two-thirds of all hospitals.

This is expected to happen in the next 6 months or so in the Pacific Northwest.


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If California ever has the big one, the rest of the country is toast. The illegals living there will swarm out of there like cockroaches coming out of a smoldering building. :sad:


Staff member
I've never noticed them actually predicting an earthquake. Have they ever got a prediction right? I know they can pinpoint areas where a quake is likely but to predict it ahead of time like a tornado or hurricane would surprise me.