As all this Wuhan flu unfolds it is becoming obvious that if we don't go back to work soon the coming financial collapse and depression is going to kill a lot more people than the virus. I am thinking the approach needs to change. In the beginning I get why everything needed to be shut down is because all we had to go on is speculation.
We have solid data now that shows the death rate to be similar to the flu with a much higher transmission rate. So what is our goal, keep everyone from getting it or keeping people from dying from it? The first option is impossible. Having everyone home is flattening the curve all but guarantees that it will last longer with a larger second wave. In my opinion what needs to happen is old folks and others with underling conditions need to stay home while everyone else goes back to work while continuing antibody testing. That plan will quickly build a large heard immunity population and reduce the amount of people that would get sick later anyway. Making a second wave much smaller and allowing time for a vaccine. The whole world has to do this or start making plans to get a lesson on how your parents and grandparents lived during the Great Depression. Right now we are at the fork in the road to make smart moves that can turn this around or stay the coarse we are on of keeping everything shut down until its gone. Sadly I feel some in this country are routing for that. If they get what they are wishing for everyone will be on equal ground with nothing.
We have solid data now that shows the death rate to be similar to the flu with a much higher transmission rate. So what is our goal, keep everyone from getting it or keeping people from dying from it? The first option is impossible. Having everyone home is flattening the curve all but guarantees that it will last longer with a larger second wave. In my opinion what needs to happen is old folks and others with underling conditions need to stay home while everyone else goes back to work while continuing antibody testing. That plan will quickly build a large heard immunity population and reduce the amount of people that would get sick later anyway. Making a second wave much smaller and allowing time for a vaccine. The whole world has to do this or start making plans to get a lesson on how your parents and grandparents lived during the Great Depression. Right now we are at the fork in the road to make smart moves that can turn this around or stay the coarse we are on of keeping everything shut down until its gone. Sadly I feel some in this country are routing for that. If they get what they are wishing for everyone will be on equal ground with nothing.