From your link:And while Bank of America’s analysts focus on bad news, the number crunchers at Goldman-Sachs may have hit the truth on the head about hospitalization rates in the US
Zerohedge
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zerowww.zerohedge.com
US COVID Hospitalizations Post First Drop In Months...But BofA Has Some Bad News
Just a couple of weeks ago, while Joe Biden and Dr. Fauci were warning about a "long dark winter" ahead and encouraging local leaders in the US (along with their colleagues in the EU) to prepare for the worst to come,the COVID-19 situation internationally was looking pretty bleak.But as more Americans and Europeans grow increasingly skeptical of the official narrative, with many - including front-line hospital workers - declining to receive the vaccine, the most recent wave of cases and hospitalizations has packed hospitals across the country, which are desperate for a reprieve. Some 130K Covid patients are being cared for currently. Meanwhile, the country posted 213,885 cases on Tuesday, pushing the seven-day average to 246,133, Covid Tracking Project data show.Across the US, at least 380,825 people have died, according to Johns Hopkins University data.However, the number of hospitalized COVID-19 patients was roughly flat in the US this week, and likely will begin declining for the first time since September as the world heads into mid-January, despite all those warnings about the worst months lying ahead, along with the flurry of new mutated strains that purportedly infect people more quickly.This shift has got thousands of professionals wondering: has the outbreak finally peaked?The numbers are now dropping compared with a week earlier in both the Northeast and Midwest, according to the Covid Tracking Project.In the West, they were up 0.8%, the least since Oct. 1 on a percentage basis. The South has the most alarming momentum, with an increase of 4.2% from seven days earlier.Deaths and cases appear to finally be rolling over, but BofA is less optimistic:
But while analysts at BofA are preoccupied with the new mutant hyperinfectious strains, a team at Goldman Sachs recently explained why hospitalizations and deaths will likely decline in the US and Europe in the coming weeks and months.As it turns out, vaccinating long-term care facility patients first has effectively taken many of the most high-risk individuals out of harm's way.
"This shift has got thousands of professionals wondering: has the outbreak finally peaked?
And if so, how come officials are insisting that humans, even those who have received both doses of the vaccine, continue to social distance and wear masks?"
"Thousands of professionals wondering," says to me that they're not quite sure yet. I certainly get why they're still insisting that people continue to wear masks and social distance. This seems like a pick-your-poison situation to me. Do you want to go the safer route and require masks and social distancing, or do you want to take a chance and go the ol' go back to normal thing.
Although I hated it at first, I really don't mind wearing a mask now. I choose safe better than sorry.