Three Curtains

[rstrats]

You are a contestant on a game show. There are three curtains. Behind one of the curtains is a new car. You are asked to choose one of the curtains. Lets say that you choose curtain #1. The host of the show - who knows where the car is so as not to end the game prematurely - opens curtain #3 and of course there is no car behind it. The host now gives you a choice. You can stay with curtain #1 or you can change your choice to curtain #2. The question now is: would it be to your advantage to stay with curtain #1, or would it be to your advantage to change to curtain #2 or would there be no advantage either way?

[Leni]

The odds are 50/50. I'd stay with my first choice if for no other reason than if I changed to #2 and the car was behind #1, I'd hate myself forever.

[EastTexFrank]

Originally Posted by Leni

The odds are 50/50. I'd stay with my first choice if for no other reason than if I changed to #2 and the car was behind #1, I'd hate myself forever.

Good thinking!!!! I'd do the same thing, for the same reason.

[rstrats]

Leni,

re: "The odds are 50/50."
　

What would you do if after your initial pick of curtain #1, and before any curtain was opened, I told you that you could stay with #1 or switch to BOTH #2 AND #3?

[EastTexFrank]

Originally Posted by rstrats

Leni,

re: "The odds are 50/50."
　

What would you do if after your initial pick of curtain #1, and before any curtain was opened, I told you that you could stay with #1 or switch to BOTH #2 AND #3?

Then I'd pick #2 and #3 but don't keep changing rules of the game. This is getting tiresome. I'm getting the distinct notion that you're trying to fuck with me. I don't like it. Go elsewhere.

[rstrats]

EastTexFrank,

re: Then I'd pick #2 and #3 ..."


So what is the difference if you personally open both curtains or the host opens one of them for you?

[loboloco]

What if you just strangled the host and took all three? This what if junk could go on forever.

[jimbo]

Actually the odds are not 50/50, which is what rstrats is attempting to point out.

Welcome, by the way.

[EastTexFrank]

Originally Posted by rstrats

EastTexFrank,

re: Then I'd pick #2 and #3 ..."


So what is the difference if you personally open both curtains or the host opens one of them for you?

The difference being that if I opened the curtain I'd rip it down, tie it round your annoying, scrawny neck and strangle you to fucking death with it. I find that mental image very pleasing for some reason.

[Galvatron]

I would just stick with the one i chose and asked the game show host to bloody hurry up and open the curtain as if i had won the car i would want to fill the gas tank asap before the prices went up.