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Dollar continues near record lows

Deadly Sushi

The One, The Only, Sushi
SUPER Site Supporter
Folks in damn concerned. I really am. Gold is at a record high. Again. Fuel... yup... record high. I reallllly really want to be optimistic. Alas I see so many problems on SO many levels that things aint lookin so hot. I think the next 5 years have a strong possibility of some big badness.



The US dollar has remained weak against both the euro and the yen in Monday trading as worries about the strength of the US economy continue.
The dollar fell to $1.4659 against the euro by late afternoon trade in New York, and dropped to 110.04 yen.
At the start of November, the dollar hit a record low of $1.4752 against the single European currency.
The strength of the dollar had been undermined further by weak US economic data released on Friday.

Interest rate cuts
As a growing number of US banks reveal their exposure to bad US mortgage debt, data on Friday showed the biggest drop in American industrial production since January.
As long as housing remains a downside risk, people will think the Fed is biased to cut rates in the near term
David Watt, senior currency strategist, RBC Capital Markets
Taken together, analysts say this suggests further cuts in US interest rates.
"There are no fundamental reasons to buy the dollar," said Tsutomu Soma, senior manager of foreign securities at Okasan Securities.
The US Federal Reserve last cut interest rates in October to 4.5%, in an effort to kick-start the faltering housing and credit markets, as well as making borrowing cheaper to encourage consumer spending in the run-up to the key Christmas shopping period.
Despite signalling that it will adopt a wait-and-see approach to the future direction of interest rates, most economists expect a further cut in rates when Fed officials next meet in December.
"Are there inflation fears in the United states? Yes," said David Watt, senior currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets in Toronto.
"But as long as housing remains a downside risk, people will think the Fed is biased to cut rates in the near term."
 

Melensdad

Jerk in a Hawaiian Shirt & SNOWCAT Moderator
Staff member
GOLD Site Supporter
You won't get any arguments from me.

Let's also not forget that our national debt is only getting worse so the weakness of the $ is not getting better any time soon.
 

Cityboy

Banned
Why is this a problem? Please explain.

To clarify on edit: Why is a "weak" dollar a problem?
 
Last edited:

DaveNay

Klaatu barada nikto
SUPER Site Supporter
Why is this a problem? Please explain.

To clarify on edit: Why is a "weak" dollar a problem?

Like everything it has good and bad points. The most obvious and immediate down side is that since the US is significantly heavier on imports, the cost of your purchased goods will go up (televisions, fruit & vegetables, oil, etc).

On the slightly longer term however, there is the possibility for a significant benefit. Due to the high cost of doing business "over there" because of the weak dollar, there will be a significant increase in domestic spending. This can lead to a greater stability in our jobs and manufacturing industry. It should also increase our exports because of the greater spending power other countries have.

I recently read a very good article regarding the pros and cons of the weak dollar, and there were definitely factors to consider other than the immediate short term impact.
 

XeVfTEUtaAqJHTqq

Master of Distraction
Staff member
SUPER Site Supporter
Like everything it has good and bad points. The most obvious and immediate down side is that since the US is significantly heavier on imports, the cost of your purchased goods will go up (televisions, fruit & vegetables, oil, etc).

On the slightly longer term however, there is the possibility for a significant benefit. Due to the high cost of doing business "over there" because of the weak dollar, there will be a significant increase in domestic spending. This can lead to a greater stability in our jobs and manufacturing industry. It should also increase our exports because of the greater spending power other countries have.

I recently read a very good article regarding the pros and cons of the weak dollar, and there were definitely factors to consider other than the immediate short term impact.

Considering the large amount of foreign debt we have it also gives us an opportunity to buy back that debt at a lower rate if we were for instance to utilize some of the gold reserves or foreign capital reserves to pay off the debt. This is why some of the biggest alarmists to the low american dollar are foreign countries. They all have lots to lose by a low american dollar.

I think the biggest impact of a weak dollar will be felt for the reasons Dave mentioned above. The cost of foreign goods is going to go up and us consumers won't be able to stock up as much at Harbor Freight and Walmart.

Of course, this will also impact countries like China that are dependent on our off-shore manufacturing. It's a good thing if we spend less money over there.
 

DaveNay

Klaatu barada nikto
SUPER Site Supporter
On the slightly longer term however, there is the possibility for a significant benefit. Due to the high cost of doing business "over there" because of the weak dollar, there will be a significant increase in domestic spending. This can lead to a greater stability in our jobs and manufacturing industry. It should also increase our exports because of the greater spending power other countries have.

BIMP.

Oil Price Fallout: Jobs Coming Home?


As shipping costs rise, businesses jump ship.

By SHARON ALFONSI

June 24, 2008 —

As the cost of shipping continues to soar along with fuel prices, homegrown manufacturing jobs are making a comeback after decades of decline.

While it once cost $3,000 to ship a container from a city like Shanghai to New York, it now costs $8,000, prompting some businesses to look closer to home for manufacturing needs.

Furniture designer Carol Gregg used to have her signature Chinese chests assembled in China, but such a luxury no longer seems viable, considering that some of her pieces now cost five times more to ship.

So now Gregg is having the chests made in North Carolina, simply because its cheaper.

Some large companies like Crown Battery are cutting expenses by moving jobs from Mexico to Ohio. And hair care company Farouk Systems plans to shift all of its production from China to Houston this summer bringing with it 1,000 jobs.

Globalization, in Reverse

The rise in transportation costs are fueling what some economists are calling "reverse globalization." For instance, DESA, a company that makes heaters to keep football players warm, is moving all its production back to Kentucky after years of having them made in China.

"Cheap labor in China doesn't help you when you gotta pay so much to bring the goods over," says economist Jeff Rubin.

Some local manufacturers have suddenly found themselves in the thick of boom times.

"In December, we had three employees here. We were just getting set up. Now it's 14," says Casey Hearn, who owns a furniture manufacturing business in North Carolina.

Other sectors of U.S. manufacturing may see a boost in jobs as well. Rubin says the U.S. steel industry is poised to reap benefits.

"It's not just about labor costs anymore," says Rubin. "Distance costs money, and when you have to shift iron ore from Brazil to China and then ship it back to Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh is looking pretty good at 40 bucks an hour."

And after decades of watching manufacturing roll out of North Carolina, Hearn feels encouraged by the trend.

"If the price of oil goes up, then I think we'll get more and more calls," says Hearn.
 

BigAl

Gone But Not Forgotten
SUPER Site Supporter
Wow ! A very interesting thread and quite a few examples that I had not considered .:thumb:
 
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